The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.After the emergency martial law storm, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively. After the emergency martial law storm in South Korea, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively, and the stock market fluctuated obviously. This week, it began to rebound slightly. South Korean media pointed out that the uncertainty of South Korea's political situation may put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Planning and Finance, Choe Sang-mu, held an "emergency macroeconomic and financial symposium" on the 10th to discuss the dynamics of the financial and foreign exchange markets and the countermeasures. According to South Korea's Chosun Ilbo reported on the 9th, after the emergency martial law storm, the total market value of South Korea's stock market evaporated by 58 trillion won within three days, and more than 400 billion US dollars of foreign exchange reserves were also threatened. As the political struggle of "impeaching the president" continues, not only finance, but also retail, alcohol, real estate, semiconductor export and other aspects of the Korean economy have also felt the chill. South Korean media believe that if financial instability and the stagnation of the real economy, the economy may fall into crisis sharply. According to the "Foreign Securities Investment Trends in November" released by the Korea Financial Supervisory Authority on the 10th, foreign investors sold 4.154 trillion won in the Korean securities market last month and sold Korean shares for four consecutive months. South Korea's "Asia Daily" said on the 10th that as South Korea re-entered the presidential impeachment time, the uncertainty intensified, and it is expected that the net selling behavior of foreign investors will continue. Although South Korea's stock market rebounded on the 10th, the uncertainty of the political situation put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Chosun Ilbo published a commentary on the 10th, saying that Fitch and Moody's, among the world's three major credit rating agencies, have successively warned that if the storm after martial law is prolonged, South Korea's national credit rating may be negatively affected. (CCTV)Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.
In the latest centralized purchase of sitagliptin tablets, the price dropped to less than 20 cents per tablet, with a drop of over 90%. The reporter learned at the scene of the tenth batch of drug centralized purchase that more than 30 companies bid for sitagliptin, which is known as the largest variety in this centralized purchase, including Huahai Pharmaceutical, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Zhengda Tianqing, tonghua dongbao, Zhejiang Pharmaceutical, Jiudian Pharmaceutical, Shiyao Ouyi, Chenxin Pharmaceutical and many other companies. Judging from the bidding results, the lowest bid price among enterprises has dropped below 0.2 yuan per piece, which is more than 90% lower than the limit price. Statistics show that in 2023, the sales of this product in the terminals of public medical institutions in China exceeded 2 billion yuan, and the sales of Merck, the original research manufacturer, accounted for more than 90%, so there is a large room for generic drug substitution. The quotation of Meradong in this collection is about 7.37 yuan per piece. (science and technology innovation board Daily)IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".Tschudin, member of the management Committee of the Swiss National Bank: Due to the monetary easing policy, Swiss economic growth is expected to pick up slightly next year. Overseas developments are the main risks facing the Swiss economy.
Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: Since the last interest rate decision, the inflation rate has been lower than expected. The development of the Swiss franc is still an important factor.Turkish Defense Ministry source: Syrian allies continue to advance in northern Syria to "eliminate terrorism".Mengke Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: The new packaging of Contizontamide tablets will be on the market soon. Mengke Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. announced that the company has launched Contizontamide tablets with new packaging specifications, and a box of 12 tablets will be on the market soon. Contizontamide tablet is a new class 1 oxazolidinone antibacterial drug with global intellectual property rights. It was approved by National Medical Products Administration, China on June 1st, 2021 for the treatment of complex skin and soft tissue infections.
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14